Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 11.950450 13.460501 15.172276 17.274469 19.811723 22.808147 26.664757
2025-04-27 10.227226 12.176520 14.573687 17.801303 22.135668 27.915199 36.502804
2025-05-04 8.791411 10.835402 13.482822 17.272274 22.754855 30.752012 44.070152
2025-05-11 8.143610 10.344726 13.329883 17.849194 24.868846 36.069047 57.131507
2025-05-18 7.460216 9.692099 12.825892 17.781077 25.928834 39.943821 69.315033
2025-05-25 6.882880 9.108766 12.325537 17.603206 26.723655 43.518076 82.569220
2025-06-01 6.410598 8.620876 11.896772 17.451537 27.497883 47.231272 98.150103
2025-06-08 5.918074 8.054737 11.282479 16.895735 27.416485 49.188208 110.563995
2025-06-15 5.614768 7.745139 11.033110 16.918469 28.416879 53.747890 133.611079
2025-06-22 5.211047 7.249050 10.437352 16.250641 27.919656 54.725741 146.163875
2025-06-29 4.823918 6.753082 9.802075 15.439939 26.994942 54.425900 154.197112
2025-07-06 4.551737 6.421333 9.413308 15.042377 26.883292 56.193993 172.256048
2025-07-13 4.602081 6.622276 9.961618 16.537703 31.377956 72.706918 285.352984
2025-07-20 4.469748 6.515398 9.969562 16.983437 33.600790 84.033327 406.278587
2025-07-27 4.211674 6.180740 9.542983 16.482442 33.363233 87.129665 479.672662
2025-08-03 4.121016 6.121652 9.607785 17.021571 35.969711 102.252306 748.062015
2025-08-10 3.958873 5.928508 9.407499 16.957775 36.926775 111.673997 1036.436795
2025-08-17 3.797648 5.726836 9.174660 16.791368 37.559119 120.293247 1433.165292
2025-08-24 3.652162 5.544193 8.963911 16.649447 38.241576 129.874398 2071.969260
2025-08-31 3.474555 5.295220 8.607866 16.129085 37.643143 132.577406 2595.075201
2025-09-07 3.369428 5.170355 8.485636 16.150379 38.795952 146.205885 4459.097936
2025-09-14 3.202403 4.925898 8.111722 15.524555 37.681177 145.597827 5370.743830
2025-09-21 3.031026 4.667001 7.696282 14.763937 35.992675 140.568692 5655.350726